Skip to main content

The Nature of Money part 3



Given the complex and diverse societies we live in, financial/credit systems are incredibly important.  Banks, CBs, dealers/traders, and governments all play a vital role in helping society function in a reality that is inherently uncertain and interdependent.  A variety of entities work to create a network which allows us to engage in very complex exchange across time.  Given the nature of the system where many diverse communities are connected, money-tokens (paper notes/coins etc) were never an adequate placeholders to store "promises."  Therefore the monetary system as a network that records transactions using primarily a digital points system (your account balance is the number of points you have) is vital.  Now factor in the rise of globalization and the internet both of which add another layer of complexity.  The US banking/payment (which creates accounts and certain contracts) and financial system (which creates and trades contracts) is more dependent on foreign networks than ever.    


There is a lot of trust involved.  That said, trust isn't enough because these systems are prone to abuses.  Close-knit communities can monitor one another in a way in which actors in the modern complex network can't.  Without these interconnected networks we simply cannot engage in everyday life.  They are indispensable.  They have also become so complex that it takes a tremendous amount of time to conceptualize the inter-linkages that exist throughout the global interconnected networks.


This complexity is prone to being gamed where individuals can place there institutions at vital parts of the network (or form relationships with other parts of the network) where their failure threatens the entire system as a whole (Systemically Important Financial Institutions).  This imbalances the power structure and such entities can then obscure the social discussion* while lobbying to change the regulatory structure in favorable ways. 


Again credit/money= access to the network across time.  Credit/money are the records which represent a claim somewhere and sometime on the system.  Credit/money and debt are two sides of the same transaction.  A person who issues a loan agrees to accept access to the system today (to acquire something of need via spending), but must return the access "key" (a deposit balance + interest) at a future specified date (repayment).  As mentioned before, if the buyer of the loan is a bank then new deposits (keys) are created.  If the loan is purchased by a non-bank financial institution then this an asset swap where the financial institution forgoes access to the payment system today in exchange for a claim on the individual. 

Where can the system go wrong?  Systemic issues may arise when the “keys” are purposely made scarcer than need be or if the keys are hoarded.  This creates a situation where the debtor class as a whole cannot actually repay their obligations.

*A vast array of economists and financial types understand that today the supply of power within the network (financial wealth) is being concentrated.  This results in the denial of access to large subsets of the population which depend on the network (exacerbating the imbalance).  A potential solution is to challenge the existing power structure by having the institution of government (Congress/Treasury, central bank) become more powerful within the network which would allow them to freely grant access more broadly.  Unfortunately, because we have tokenize money in the minds of the population, way too many believe money is something that can be run out of.  


This isn't to suggest that there aren't any constraints to the creation of credit/money.  Too much access at any one time can create physical strains associated with overproduction (which can lead to a rising price level as the system adjusts), but as we have seen since the recession too little access creates imbalances, desperation, and exploitation.  Therefore a socially responsible monetary, banking, and financial system service a great social purpose.  These institutions play a vital role in the allocation of credit and in doing so help to determine how society's real resources are utilized.  Ideally, those that are able to make the best use of the real resources within society are able to attain the credit they need to transact within the system.  In enabling this, the financial system helps promotes the very productive investment that will cause financial claims to retain their real value in the future. 

Financial wealth is the accumulation of deposit accounts and financial securities.  This accumulation can imbalance the power structure where these entities have excess claims on others thereby making them powerful constituents in the economy.  This can become problematic if this financial wealth is used to distort the political process in a way that perpetuates this imbalance rather than facilitate productive investment.  In the former, concentrated financial wealth risks inhibiting diversity and resilience within the system which can produce a wasteful use of real resources.   

It can also allow for powerful groups to totally obscure the debate by promoting misconceptions pertaining to the function of the monetary and financial system (the bank of England video talks about this where they state the text books being taught are wrong!).  Some of these prior poor assumptions which have been rooted out since the crisis as being false were certainly believed to be true prior to these course of events.  Humans are fallible!  Honest ideological errors were certainly made and are always being made.  Reality transforms rapidly rendering certain prior assumptions obsolete. 

Here are just a few:
-The government creates most of the money supply = false.   
The financial system creates different forms of money, bank deposits being the dominant form.  Governments grant this privilege to the private banking system while also providing them with legal support.  The Fed insures the orderly functioning of this system by providing lender of last resort services especially in times of crisis.  This is done with the understanding that the government is allowed to regulate banking.     

-Money multiplier/fractional reserve lending = false as causality runs in the opposite direction as lending creates deposits and the need for reserves. -Banks take "in" deposits and then lend them out = false.  Banks create digital deposit balances whenever someone agrees to a loan contract. 

Deposit account is a claim that allows access to the payment system today whereas a financial security is contract/claim that allows access to the network at a specified future date. 

-Money is a finite good = false.

Whatever we deem to be money is a record of a social interaction (social relationship) which cannot be tangibly exhausted. 
Inspired by:
What is Money?...and Why Does it Matter? Felix Martin talks at St Paul's Cathedral



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Global bonds continue their rise as the Fed pauses

Given that 2018 ended with the suspicion that decelerating global growth and falling inflation/inflation expectations would force the Fed to pause, bond markets all over the world had begun to rally along with risk assets.  Seeing how his rebound has unfolded in Q1, the strength and broad-based nature of the uptrend in credit and risk suggest that the global economy may have averting the potential disaster scenario that was being priced in by markets in Q4 2018.  In this light, 2018-2019 so far has more in common with 2015-2016 and 2011-2013 when compared to the prior two pre-recession periods leading up to the cyclical turns in 2000/2002 and 2007/2008.  With that said, current market conditions still requires that market participants remain flexible even if a bias toward optimism continues to be favorable.  All it would take is for the 2018 lows in credit and risk to give way for major trends and sentiment to shift meaningfully. Before discussing the rally in glob...

Weak & unbalanced secular growth is the problem not bilateral trade or immigration

Global Trumpism  could have been avoided.  An economy has three broad sources of demand that enable the expansion of aggregate sales (nominal GDP) on domestically produced goods and services.* Domestic private sector (households and corporations) consumption and investment spending Public sector expenditure (which recycles income back to the non-government sectors) Foreign sector purchases (exports to foreign domiciled agents/entities) Aggregate expenditure is funded by: Domestic private sector dissavings in the form of leverage (debt issuance and/or asset sales ), equity issuance, or spending out of existing income Public sector debt issuance, asset sales, and taxes Foreign sector leverage, equity issuance, or spending out of existing income

Keep your eye on the dollar as an indicator of risk sentiment

Last month's post,  Are the signals that usually precede cyclical downturns present today? , pointed out how the current financial environment is not (yet) reminiscent of prior cyclical economic tops that ushered in major corrections in risk assets.  Despite the ongoing correction/volatility in global equity and commodity markets, the yield curve is still positive and above the January 2018 lows, the 10-year treasury yield remains in an uptrend (a sign of improving growth and inflation expectations), high yield credit spreads are still very low and have yet to widen materially, longer term moving average trends in equities still remain favorable, aggregate economic data suggests that the current upswing in NGDP remains intact. With all that said, it is certainly possible that in hindsight the February risk-off move could eventually be understood as the beginning of a major economic and financial market correction rather than normal volatility in an ongoing uptrend....